The Olympics: A Biotech Perspective
Laptop Battery By Michael Rosen • 09/01/04
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Thinkpad
Jia Hu of China - Source: Getty ImagesThe Olympics of
Biotech
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Microsoft The biotech Olympics aren't held every four years. They're held
every year. Though this is still a primarily American-influenced
event, it becomes more global every year as the pervasive growth of
the industry becomes part of the economies of many countries.
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Laptop Computers While the Olympics run every four years and last two weeks, the
biotech Olympics run about four days every year. While global
biotech participation still lags behind the athletic Olympics, the
biotech Olympics (known as the annual BIO convention) had
participation from 33 countries in 2003.
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Laptop Computer The attendance to this annual event has grown every year. Let's
take a look:
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Desktop Computer As you can see, the attendance numbers have jumped times 10
since 1993.
Notebooks I have heard numbers bandied about that the 2006 event in
Chicago will draw more than 25,000 people. Even if it reaches
20,000 over the four-day period, it will be a mighty clustering of
biotech hordes arriving in the Midwest for the first time. Some
18,000 people are expected for the Philadelphia meeting.
Lenovo According to BIO, the 2004 BIO convention drew a record number
of bio people from 49 U.S. states (it's not clear which state was
missing), 61 countries and 10 Canadian provinces. The economic
impact of the meeting on San Francisco was $35 million for those
four days. The exhibit hall had 1,469 displays and 60 state and
international pavilions.
Hard Drive Six governors attended (from Florida, Kentucky, Iowa,
Massachusetts, Minnesota and Missouri). Some 50 high-level
officials from 15 countries attended as well. BIO 2004 represented
the first visit for the following countries: Algeria, Armenia, the
Ivory Coast, Kazakhstan, Lithuania, Peru, Romania, Slovenia,
Uganda, the Ukraine and Yemen.
Travelstar In terms of international biotech companies, we had the
following distribution for San Francisco:
Gateway The normal June scheduling for BIO 2006 in Chicago has been
shifted to April so it won't interfere with some major medical
congresses (such as ASCO). This isn't great news as Chicago is
often prone to snow in April (whereas June is a month in which
Chicago flourishes).
Laptop Parts Nevertheless, this will have an impact on some of the planned
activities (you can hardly hold an outdoor street party like the
one held in San Diego) and this will involve some creative thinking
by the convention planners.
Software By the way, a broad spectrum of Illinois state and Chicago city
government, academic, agricultural and industry movers and shakers
got together a week or so ago to brainstorm what the BIO 2006
meeting should look and feel like. One theme that resounded is that
it should truly be a Midwest event rather than just a Chicago
event.
Hard Drives Analogies were made to the Chicago World's Fair of 1893 and the
impact that this event had not only on the city and the Midwest but
technology in the U.S. The key here is that this event could be the
catalytic event the Midwest needs to get the attention it deserves
in the world of biotech (so early planning is good).
Electronics The Biotech IPO Market
Canon My previous comments indicated that it would be a dry summer for
biotech IPOs. Surprisingly, it hasn't been. Though I also indicated
price haircuts galore on these IPOs, there was at least one IPO
priced decently.
Desktop Pc It has been about 11 months since the biotech IPO market opened
in October 2003. Since then, 33 biotech companies have gone public
(because this doesn't include the medical device companies, the
impact is actually greater).
Desktop Computers According to William Blair's IPO watch (which assiduously tracks
the biotech IPO market), 33 biotech companies have now gone public.
The average return for this group off the IPO price is negative 3
percent, which isn't too bad given the overall market (the Nasdaq
is down 8 percent year to date).
Think Pad While the average market cap of these companies is about $290
million per company, there is a pretty wide range from $67 million
on the low side (Xcyte) to $1.6 billion on the high side
(Eyetech).
Repair Current stock price per share has a wide range as well from a
low of $4.58 per share for Dynavax to $48.18 per share for
Pharmion.
Data Recovery There are nine companies of the 33 with a positive return from
the time of going public. This ranges from 4 percent up to 244
percent (again Pharmion). The other 24 companies either had a flat
share price or are declining from the time of the offering with the
worst being Myogen, which is down 57 percent from its IPO
opening.
Cisco Let's take a look at the number of IPOs per quarter to see if
there is a seasonality effect for biotech:
Keyboard According to William Blair, there's a backlog of 11 IPOs still
filed but unpriced.
Monitor This represents about $900 million in potential new capital to
flow into the industry. One of these was filed in 2003 and is still
pending while the other 10 were filed earlier in 2004. Though
nothing was filed over the summer, two IPOs were filed in early
June.
Desktop During the summer, four companies went public in July and one in
August, which is almost unheard of in prior years.
Infosys Two of the five companies priced at $14 per share for the
opening price while the other three were in the $7 to $8 per-share
range. It seems like everyone wasn't off on vacation and perhaps
the old paradigm of summer being a dead time for biotech IPOs has
changed.
Refurbished Laptops While we're still short of Steve Burrill's prediction last
October of about 50 biotech IPOs for this financing window, it
ain't over 'till it's over. Happy Labor Day, and as one great San
Francisco band (not Metallica) used to say, keep on truckin'. See
you next week!
Wipro ____________
Lap Top Michael S. Rosen is president and CEO of Barbeau Pharma and a
founder and board member of the Illinois Biotechnology Industry
Organization (IBIO). He can be reached at rosenmichaels@aol.com.
This article has been syndicated on the Wisconsin Technology
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