Laptop Battery How a special combination and setting of proven indicators, can
alert you on significant Stock Market tops and bottoms.
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Thinkpad RSI - Relative Strength Index is a well known and much used
momentum indicator. It was invented by J. Welles Wilder Jr., a
great technical analyst.
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Microsoft RSI compares the magnitude of a stock or index's recent gains to
the magnitude of it's recent losses and that
information is turned into a
number that ranges from 0 to 100. A single parameter is used,
the number of
time periods for the
calculation. 14 periods is recommended by Wilder.
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Laptop Computers Common
practical use of RSI in stock
market timing is to measure the underlying strength of the
market and to determine if it's getting overbought or oversold.
Wilder's own recommendation was to use 70 and 30 levels, to
indicate an overbought and oversold market, respectively. If RSI
rises above 30 it's considered bullish for the stock or index.
If the RSI falls below 70, it's a bearish sign.
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Laptop Computer Bullish & Bearish Divergences:
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Desktop Computer Stronger Buy and Sell Signals can also be generated by looking
for positive and negative divergences between the RSI and
underlying prices. For example, a falling market index whose RSI
instead rises from a low point of 10 and back up to above 50. The
underlying index will often reverse it's direction soon after such
a divergence. Divergences that occur after an overbought or
oversold reading, usually gives more reliable signals.
Notebooks Centerline Break:
Lenovo A bullish or bearish indication is given with readings above and
below the 50 level. A reading above this centerline indicates that
average gains are higher than average losses. A reading below 50
indicates that bears are winning the fight. For confirmation of
bullish and bearish signals, some traders look for moves above and
below 50, respectively.
Hard Drive Below is the author's special indicator combination and
settings, for short & medium term stock market timing.
Travelstar Daily Chart:
Gateway - 200 ema (close price).
- 89 ema (close price).
- RSI set at 25 periods with horizontal lines at 60 and 40.
Laptop Parts Weekly Chart:
Software - Cycle10 plotted with horizontal lines set at 70 and 40. This
unique indicator was developed by Walter Bressert.
Hard Drives - MACD plotted with Signal Time Periods set at
5.
Electronics By the use of a 25 period RSI on a daily chart, in combination
with Cycle10 and MACD, plotted on a weekly chart, larger tops and
bottoms can often be found. This special indicator setup can be a
contributing factor for more accurate stock market timing, although
no guarantees are given. Examples for 2005 are the significant
April and October lows in the OEX, (S&P 100) where the RSI
dipped below 40.
Canon RSI Example:
Desktop Pc
Http://oextradingresources.com/rsi-april.gif
Desktop Computers Cycle10:
http://oextradingresources.com/cycle10.gif
Think Pad Later in 2005 and so far in 2006, three RSI moves above 60 all
alerted about important OEX peaks, in November, January and
March:
Repair Http://oextradingresources.com/rsi-06.gif
Data Recovery Below is how i use this as an alert system in my own technical
analysis.
Cisco By using this 25 period RSI, instead of the standard 14 RSI,
some whip-saws will be filtered out. When RSI 25 climbs above 60 or
falls below 40, odds are greater more significant tops and bottoms
are forming, respectively. This part of the system acts as a
warning, a trading opportunity shows up on the Long or Short side
and more attention is given.
Keyboard Long (Bullish) Entry Parameters:
Monitor Weekly MACD must be in bearish mode (closing
prices).
Desktop When Daily RSI closing readings falls below 40, (for a bullish
entry consideration) weekly Cycle10 must be in it's buy zone(below
40) and make a positive reversal on a weekly closing basis, before
entry. It's important to seperate between the daily and weekly
charts used for each indicator.
Infosys A less aggressive approach is then to wait for the high of the
weekly bar that caused the Cycle10 reversal, to be broken by a few
points. Depending on the risk tolerance, a protective stop can be
placed a few points below the swing low or below the low of the bar
which caused the weekly Cycle10 reversal. When weekly MACD's signal
line crosses it's moving average, a bullish trend reversal
comfirmation is given.
Refurbished Laptops Taking Profits:
Wipro Deciding when to take profits is often viewed as the most
difficult part of trading. I would consider taking profits, when
the 38.2%, 50% or the key 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels (of
the previous bearish trend) are reached. It depends on how
overbought the market has become, when those Fibonacci retracement
levels are touched. Another, usually slower approach, is to simply
take profits when MACD turns bearish again (MA crossover).
Lap Top The odds for a successful trade would increase if weekly MACD
has just been through a bullish divergence pattern formation first,
before entering bullish mode (MA crossover).
Refurbished Other profit taking suggestions are when weekly Cycle10 makes a
bearish reversal up in it's sell zone (closing basis). A drawback
with this method, is that Cycle10 doesn't always reach it's sell
zone, before making a bearish reversal.
Memory Another good point to take profits, is those times when the key
61.8% Fibonacci price level is reached and Cycle10 at the same time
is in it's sell zone. In this case a bearish Cycle10 reversal is
not waited for. Any market wants to reach it's key 61.8% Fibonacci
zone, 60-70% of the time, before making a new trend reversal.
Intel Short (Bearish) Entry Parameters:
As400 Weekly MACD must be in bullish mode (closing
prices).
Averatec When daily RSI rises above 60, weekly Cycle10 must be in it's
sell zone (above 70) and make a bearish reversal on a weekly
closing basis, before entry. Again, a less aggressive entry, is
then to wait for the low of the bar which caused the Cycle10
reversal, to be broken by a few points.
Hardware A protective stop can be placed a few points above the swing
high or the high of the weekly Cycle10 reversal bar. When MACD's
signal line crosses it's moving average, a bearish trend reversal
comfirmation is given.
Dual Xeon Taking Profits:
Storage The same suggestions as for the Long entries, it depends on how
long you are willing to stay in the trade.
Seagate - When the 38.2%, 50% or the key 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
levels (of the previous bullish trend) are reached.
Computer Sales - When weekly Cycle10 makes a bullish reversal down in it's buy
zone.
Computer Hardware - When the key 61.8% Fibonacci level is reached and Cycle10 at
the same time has entered it's buy zone, without waiting for a
bullish reversal.
Printers For your profit taking decisions, the 89 and the 200 EMA,
plotted on the daily chart, can also be used as important
resistance and support levels to be aware of.
Technology In general, not more than 2-5% of the total trading capital
should be at risk in any trade. This prevents the trading account
from being wiped out, when a streak of losses may occur, as can
happen in any system.
Mainframe The trading strategy outlined in this article is in no way the
"holy grail" of stock market timing. It's an opinion of when
important market tops and bottoms can be expected and hopefully be
useful information in this regard, a tool in the tool box, if you
like.
Catalogue: Finance | Stock Market
Title: A Stock Market Timing Secret Revealed By: Arild
Myklebust
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