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Oil Prices Reflect A Cold Winter Full Of Disruption, Fear

Laptop Battery Prices for heating oil and gasoline are soaring and likely to keep rising as energy markets cope with a colder than expected winter, the loss of Venezuela's production and worries about war with Iraq.

"The increase in gas prices reflects a surge in oil prices back above $60 per barrel in the last ten days, as well as a corresponding increase in the NYMEX futures price wholesale price of gasoline to $1.68 per gallon, " said Phil Wedgewood, Iowa spokesperson. "Oil and gasoline prices also have been driven higher by the arrival of cold winter weather, which creates demand for more energy."

Thinkpad A deep freeze in the Northeast caused heating oil prices to spike by 20 percent last week. The Energy Department, citing low stocks -- as well as higher natural gas prices -- said heating bills could be 50 percent higher this year than last winter.

Small businesses have been urged to introduce plans to deal with the possible disruption to energy supplies this winter. Leading industry bodies, such as the Confederation of British Industry (CBI), are concerned that with the Met Office predicting the coldest winter in a decade and the shortage of crude oil, small firms may experience an energy shortage this winter.

Microsoft Consumers are getting hit at the gasoline pumps as well.

Heating oil prices fell 3.94 cents, to $1.5097 a gallon, Monday afternoon on Nymex. Others remain concerned about winter fuels. "We are heading for winter, and stocks in the U.S., Europe and Japan are significantly lower than they were a year ago, " said Axel Busch, the chief correspondent for Energy Intelligence Group in London. "If we get a cold snap, or a cold winter, we will see prices go higher."

Laptop Computers Nationally, gasoline prices increased for the ninth straight week to an average of $1.60 a gallon for regular grades, 50 cents a gallon higher than a year ago, according to the federal Energy Information Administration. Many parts of the country have seen price hikes of 20 cents a gallon in recent weeks.

The national residential heating oil price fell a slight 0.4 cent a gallon over the last week to $1.382 a gallon, but is still 10.5 cents higher than a year ago, according to the Energy Department. The department's Energy Information Administration, which conducts the weekly survey of heating oil costs, said it expects heating oil to average $1.33 a gallon this winter. Even with this week's price decline, heating fuel costs so far this season have been way above the EIA's estimate, and the coldest winter months have yet to arrive.

Laptop Computer Crude oil on Friday moved above $35 a barrel, the highest it has been in two years. Government analysts forecast that prices probably will stay above $30 a barrel this year, even if a war is avoided in Iraq.

According to the indictment, Jones would steal various IBM and Penguin computer servers from Verisign's warehouse in Virginia and sell them to Johnson. Johnson would then sell the servers to several individuals, who would sometimes place them for sale on eBay. As a result of this scheme, the indictment alleges that Jones and Johnson caused Verisign to lose more than $120, 000 worth of computer equipment. In the indictment, Jones and Johnson are charged in three counts with causing the interstate transportation of stolen property, namely IBM 330 and 335 servers, in violation of 18 U.S.C.

Desktop Computer The price of light sweet crude was $34.78 per barrel at noon yesterday on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Notebooks Although OPEC oil producers have boosted production, they have yet to make up the oil lost to political unrest in Venezuela. Crude inventories fell "well below the low end of the normal range" at the end of January, the Energy Department said. With high crude prices and some shortages, refiners scaled back operations, choosing to perform normal maintenance a few weeks early, some analysts said.

Lenovo That has caused suppliers to draw heavily on heating oil stockpiles, causing prices to jump. On Friday, wholesale heating oil prices on the New York exchange soared to $1.20 a gallon, a jump of 30 cents from a week earlier.

Hard Drive After a New Hampshire terminal couldn't get heating oil for four days, Jack Sullivan, chief executive of the New England Fuel Institute, warned in a letter to the Energy Department of "a supply and pricing crisis" if more heating oil isn't made available.

Travelstar "The demand is extraordinary. It's absolutely horrific," Sullivan said in an interview. His organization, which represents 1,000 heating oil companies, urged the government to release stocks from an emergency heating oil stockpile. No decision on such a release has been made.

Gateway Economists say the supply crunch and price spiral stem from a variety of factors, especially unease over war with Iraq and the possibility Kuwaiti and Saudi production could be disrupted.

Laptop Parts "The dramatic price rise we've seen in the last couple of weeks is primarily associated with fear about war in Iraq, the disruption of oil exports from Venezuela and extremely cold weather," said Kyle Cooper, an energy analyst for Smith Barney.

Software Heating oil stocks in the Northeast are 35 percent below the 10-year average, according to the American Petroleum Institute. Gasoline stocks, while still at comfortable levels, fell 3.4 million barrels last week, the government said.

Hard Drives If the cold winter persists, refiners will need to keep up the heating oil supply and postpone their push to making gasoline. If so, gasoline inventories may not recover, leading to higher gas prices this spring and summer, analysts said.

Electronics "Oil markets now are as tight as a fully stretched rubber band," said an Energy Department analysis. "Whether the rubber band breaks or not will largely depend on the pace of demand in coming weeks."

Canon By H. Josef Hebert
Associated Press - 2/11/2003

Topic: Petroleum Industry

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