Laptop Battery The financial crisis afflicting the electricity and
natural gas industry deepened
yesterday as investors were unnerved by a credit downgrade on
Dynegy, a leading power trader.
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Thinkpad After markets closed Friday, Moody's Investors Service, a credit
agency, lowered its rating on Dynegy's bonds to its lowest
investment-grade rung. Hoping to
restore Wall Street's confidence, Dynegy said yesterday morning
that it would trim spending next year, reduce debt and raise
cash by selling new shares.
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Microsoft Dynegy said it remained on firm financial footing, but warned
that its earnings per share next year would be 10 percent lower
than analysts had predicted.
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Laptop Computers But investors remained concerned about the downgrade. Shares in
Dynegy and other energy companies tumbled yesterday, continuing a
slide that began last month with the collapse of Enron, once the
world's largest power and natural gas trader.
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Laptop Computer Over the last two years, Dynegy and its peers have raised tens
of billions of dollars to build new power
plants, tapping investors giddy
about high electricity and gas prices. Today, prices for power
have plunged, and investors are worried about the possibility of
an electricity glut and the heavy debt loads carried by many
energy companies.
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Desktop Computer Wall Street's sudden wariness has led Dynegy and other
independent power plant operators to cancel plans for new plants.
More cuts from other companies may follow, analysts say, as the
industry struggles to shore up its balance sheet.
Notebooks "This is indicative of an industrywide trend," said Carol Coale,
analyst at Prudential Securities in Houston. "For a long time, this
industry has been carrying leverage that I have been uncomfortable
with."
Lenovo Already, Wall Street has almost halted the sale of stock by
merchant energy companies. Since the end of August, this industry
group has only sold about $500 million of equity, compared with
almost $7 billion in the first eight months of the year, according
to Thomson Financial. Last year, the sector sold about $6 billion
in stock.
Hard Drive The long-term impact of the industry's capital squeeze is
unclear. Despite widespread investor fears of a power glut,
analysts say a few states, including New York, Florida and
California, may eventually face a power shortfall if new plants are
not constructed. Earlier this year, a severe electricity shortage
in California led to occasional blackouts, but those prices
collapsed this summer.
Travelstar Analysts like Jeff Dietert of Simmons & Company in Houston
had expected about 150,000 megawatts of power-generating capacity
to be added nationwide from this year to 2005. But now he says that
total will probably end up closer to 100,000 megawatts.
Gateway Most plants not already financed and under construction have
been taken off the drawing board, he said. Currently, the nation
has close to 800,000 megawatts of capacity. One megawatt is enough
to supply about 800 typical homes.
Laptop Parts But the immediate crisis the industry faces is financial, not
electrical.
Software Dynegy shares plunged $3.24, or 13 percent, to $21.70,
yesterday. The company's stock has lost 21.9 percent of its value
over the last week. Shares of Mirant, which owns independent power
plants worldwide, fell 15 percent yesterday and have collapsed 40.5
percent over the last week. Other natural gas and electric
companies, including the El Paso Corporation and Calpine, also
fell.
Hard Drives Dynegy said yesterday that it would sell $375 million in assets
next year and reduce its capital spending by an additional $375
million. The company also plans to sell $500 million in stock next
summer. Dynegy said that dilution from the stock sale and lower
natural gas and oil prices would cause its earnings to be only
$2.30 to $2.35 a share next year, compared with a previous estimate
of $2.50 to $2.60.
Electronics "Dynegy is moving forward with a permanent plan, utilizing our
existing business model, that addresses market concerns, increases
our capital strength, and reduces our debt," said Chuck Watson,
Dynegy's chairman, in a statement announcing the restructuring
effort. Dynegy said that ChevronTexaco, its largest shareholder,
supports the plan. ChevronTexaco, the second-largest United States
oil company, owns 35 percent of Dynegy's stock.
Canon Chris Gidez, a spokesman for ChevronTexaco, said ChevronTexaco
does support Dynegy's effort. But he said ChevronTexaco has not
decided whether to buy more Dynegy shares in the company's stock
offering next year. Last month, ChevronTexaco injected $1.5 billion
into Dynegy as part of Dynegy's failed effort to buy Enron.
Desktop Pc "We're evaluating it," Mr. Gidez said of the
offering.
Desktop Computers After Moody's downgrade, analysts said they worried that
Dynegy's credit ratings could be cut further, forcing the company
to repay its debts early or post hundreds of millions of dollars in
collateral to its trading partners.
Think Pad "There's a risk that they could get downgraded to junk status,"
said Christopher Ellinghaus, an analyst at the Williams Capital
Group in New York, who cut his rating on Dynegy from strong buy to
hold yesterday morning. "It would be a pretty material event. The
core trading business is very dependent on your credit rating."
Repair Ms. Coale said she was concerned because Dynegy had said that it
might have to pay back a portion of its debt immediately if its
credit ratings were cut to noninvestment grade, or junk, status.
Previously the company had said that it did not face a credit
rating trigger, she said.
Data Recovery "Are there ratings triggers or aren't there?" she
said.
Cisco Meg Nollen, Dynegy's senior vice president for investor
relations, said Dynegy had one loan of about $250 million that it
might have to pay back immediately if it received a junk rating
from two of the three major credit agencies. The company has cash
and credit lines of $900 million, more than enough to repay that
loan.
Keyboard Dynegy's stock was also hurt yesterday by an incorrect report
from an analyst at J. P. Morgan Chase, Ms. Nollen said. J. P.
Morgan has withdrawn the report, she added.
Monitor The report mistakenly said that Dynegy's credit rating had
fallen "below junk, which would mean we were bankrupt," Ms. Nollen
said. "They made a mistake, they discovered it, and they're going
to fix it."
Desktop Anatol Feygin, the J. P. Morgan analyst who covers Dynegy, did
not return calls for comment.
Infosys Legislation on 401(k)'s In an effort to address another aspect
of Enron's collapse, legislation is expected to be introduced in
Congress today aimed at reducing how concentrated employees' 401(k)
retirement plans can be in any single investment. The legislation
is expected to be introduced by Senator Barbara Boxer, Democrat of
California, and Senator Jon Corzine, Democrat of New Jersey.
Refurbished Laptops As Enron's shares fell 99 percent this year, its employees'
401(k) plans lost, on average, over half their value a total of
about $1.2 billion because of the high proportion of Enron stock in
the plans.
Wipro In the last two years, workers at other large companies who had
much of their retirement assets in company stock have also seen
their nest eggs shrivel.
Lap Top By Alex Berenson and Richard A. Oppel Jr.
New York Times - 12/18/2001
Topic: Energy
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