We know that bond prices, like anything
else with a price, can be
tracked on a point and figure chart. We can also monitor the
relative strength of bonds, just like we do with stocks. Also,
when bonds in general gave a relative strength sell signal over
two
years ago, we knew that this group would likely perform
poorly, when compared with the rest of the overall market.
Laptop Battery It's important to know that a large rise in rates can be just as
devastating or catastrophic as a stock market crash to many
investors. Especially investors who blindly follow computerized
asset allocation models.
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Thinkpad But WHY is this all happening? And why NOW?
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Microsoft Let's face it; the Fed has been raising rates for well over a
year now! Why didn't bonds start collapsing
back then?
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Laptop Computers Could it be there is no confidence in the new Fed Chairman?
Could it be a "proxy" on the current President's administration?
Could it be a resurgence of inflation? Could it be the ongoing
struggle between the dollar and the other currencies around the
world? Could it be the fact we are getting mixed signals about the
economy.where the "man on the street" sees no improvement, but yet,
economists see signs things are picking up?
Maybe it is a combination of all of these reasons!
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Laptop Computer Perhaps it is something so very simple and basic that market
pundits just keep missing it!
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Desktop Computer Maybe it is simply the fact that more people are selling
bonds than buying bonds, which pushes prices down.
Notebooks Look, when too many sellers appear, in any market, prices must
fall. That is true whether you are selling fruit on the corner,
selling all your baseball cards on Ebay.or if you are selling
bonds.
Lenovo But.most importantly, it DOES NOT MATTER why bond prices are
falling and interest rates are climbing. I'll say that again, it
DOES NOT MATTER what the reason is for these price changes.
Hard Drive What matters is what you will need to do about
it.
Travelstar You see, the bond market, compared to the stock market, can
sometimes be like the Wild West. The stock market has trading
collars and curbs put in place since 1987 to avoid meltdowns like
we saw on October 19th, 1987. The bond market has no such
limitations. And don't forget, there are no stop orders or limit
orders to help dry up the outstanding demand or supply.
Gateway It's a lot like that scene at the end of the movie "Trading
Places" when Dan Ackroyd and Eddie Murphy are trading
futures on frozen concentrate
orange juice. When everyone wants to sell, it becomes frenzy.with
no end in sight. With little or no stability in prices.
Laptop Parts A lot of people just don't understand this! Selling a bond can
be like selling your home. When you want to sell a bond, there is
rarely a "listed" market. So you need to contact a broker. They
will come up with an offer price to buy your bond from you. This
price has to work for you, or you won't sell. But it also has to
work for them.they will often turn around quickly and offer it
elsewhere, in an effort to make a profitable trade.
Software There are times when firms will not want to buy a bond that is
being offered around by another broker. So they will enter an
extremely low offer to buy the bond, not a serious offer. But when
a firm really needs to unload a particular bond, it has to take
these bids, just to move a bond. So, once the word is out that
XYZ's bonds just traded at a severe discount, all bonds of that
issue will often begin to slide as well. This is how chaos begins
in bond markets.
Hard Drives The moves can be sudden, and they can be violent.both up and
down!
Electronics It's been a while since the bond market has experienced some
real volatility. Hopefully we will not experience that, but we need
to be prepared for the chance that we might.
Canon Thomas Mullooly, President of Mullooly Asset Management, works
one on one with individuals so they can regain control of their
investments. Tom's popular email alerts help folks to reduce the
risks in their portfolios. To learn how to stop making simple
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Desktop Pc Thomas Mullooly, President of Mullooly Asset Management, works
one on one with individuals so they can regain control of their
investments. Tom's popular email alerts help folks to reduce the
risks in their portfolios. To learn how to stop making simple
investing mistakes and to sign up for Tom's email alerts, visit
http://www.advicefor401k.com, today!
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