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Housing Construction Moving At Slower Rate

Laptop Battery Housing construction slowed last month but still remained close to a 17-year high, a sign that a recent upward swing in mortgage rates has done little damage to the resilient housing market.

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Thinkpad Builders broke ground on 1.82 million housing units at a seasonally adjusted annual rate in August, a 3.8 percent drop from the previous month, the Commerce Department reported yesterday.

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Microsoft Housing construction had boomed in July, clocking in at a rate of 1.89 million units, the strongest monthly level of activity seen since April 1986.

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Laptop Computers "I would view the August thing as just kind of settling down a bit from the July exuberance," said David Seiders, chief economist at the National Association of Home Builders.

The housing weakness has weighed on the entire economy, helping to slow overall growth to an anemic 1.3 percent annual rate in the first three months of this year.

Laptop Computer Although some economists had raised concerns about the effect a recent rise in mortgage rates would have on the housing sector, "the constraining impact of higher rates seems like a pretty minor factor," Seiders said.

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Desktop Computer In the middle of June, rates on benchmark 30-year mortgages slid to 5.21 percent, the lowest level in more than four decades. But shortly after that, they began a fairly steady rise. Last week, however, rates on 30-year mortgages dropped to 6.16 percent.

Notebooks Factors contributing to the recent increase in mortgage rates include signs that the economy is picking up speed and concern about swelling federal budget deficits, economists say. Those factors have pushed up bond rates, causing long-term mortgage rates to rise.

Lenovo Economists, however, expect sales of both new homes and previously owned homes to hit record highs this year, even if higher mortgage rates slow activity somewhat in the coming months.

Hard Drive In August, work on new single- family homes declined by 4 percent from the previous month to a rate of 1.48 million units. Construction of multifamily housing, including apartments and condos, also fell by 4 percent last month to a rate of 308,000.

Travelstar By region, housing construction plunged by 23.3 percent in the Northeast to a rate of 145,000. In the South, housing construction dropped by 2.7 percent to a pace of 851,000 and in the West, housing starts dipped by 1.8 percent to a rate of 436,000. But in the Midwest, housing construction increased 1 percent to a rate of 388,000.

Gateway In an encouraging note, housing permits -- a good barometer of current demand -- rose by 4.5 percent in August from the previous month to a rate of 1.89 million units, the highest level since December 2002. And, permits for single-family homes rose by 2.9 percent to a record high monthly rate of 1.48 million units.

Laptop Parts "The single-family housing market has been one consistently positive report on U.S. economic activity over the past few years, and it doesn't appear this trend will reverse anytime soon," said Gina Martin, economist at Wachovia. "Though mortgage rates increased through the month of August, they remain near historic lows.

Software "We anticipate rates will stay near their current levels for the next few months, providing further support for residential construction markets."

Hard Drives By Jeannine Aversa
Associated Press - 9/18/2003

Topic: Sprawl

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