Laptop Battery In a country gaining dominance in the production of electronics,
9-year-old Sheng Minjie sat down one recent evening to do his math
homework. First, though, he had to solve a physics equation: How
many candles did he need to illuminate his work?
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Thinkpad Like thousands of other households in this city on China's east
coast, Sheng's family was without electricity, his apartment dark
and cold. The city had cut the power to his neighborhood as part of
a series of rolling blackouts imposed as China struggles to cope
with power shortages afflicting much of the country. At one point
last month, the city's traffic lights were turned off for two days.
A ban on lighted advertising has created the peculiar spectacle of
a Chinese metropolis largely devoid of flashing neon.
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Microsoft China's relentless industrial development has outstripped its
supply of power. The government forecasts shortages of 10 to 15
percent in key manufacturing areas, estimating that China needs
about $108 billion worth of new generating capacity to close the
gap. Factories are now cutting production, while hotels and
restaurants dim lights and switch off heat. Some worry that the
scarcity could shackle enterprises that have become critical
employers at a time when millions of government-supported jobs are
being eliminated by the country's transition from Communism to the
free market.
According to the indictment, Jones would steal various IBM and Penguin computer servers from Verisign's warehouse in Virginia and sell them to Johnson. Johnson would then sell the servers to several individuals, who would sometimes place them for sale on eBay. As a result of this scheme, the indictment alleges that Jones and Johnson caused Verisign to lose more than $120, 000 worth of computer equipment. In the indictment, Jones and Johnson are charged in three counts with causing the interstate transportation of stolen property, namely IBM 330 and 335 servers, in violation of 18 U.S.C.
Laptop Computers "These power shortages are extremely serious," said Scott
Roberts, an analyst at Cambridge Energy Research Associates in
Beijing. "In some areas they have been crippling for economic
growth."
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Laptop Computer The shortages testify to the complexities of managing China's
economic transformation. China's government has in recent years
liberalized much of the economy, allowing markets to determine how
much factories produce and at what price, with individuals and
businesses free to consume as much as they can afford. But the
supply of energy remains tightly regulated. The construction of new
power plants requires the permission of bureaucrats in Beijing.
They have fundamentally misjudged the demand.
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Desktop Computer Erwin Sanft, an oil and gas analyst for CLSA Emerging Markets, a
Hong Kong-based research firm, recalled meeting with officials in
Beijing in 1998. "They were forecasting 3 percent growth in demand
for electricity," he said. Since then, growth has been in the
double digits, with a jump of 15 percent in 2003. This past summer,
China exceeded the consumption once forecast for 2005.
Notebooks China is now in the midst of a building boom in power plants,
though most will not be completed for two or three years. The Three
Gorges Dam -- the largest hydroelectric project in history -- is
beginning to provide power, though it will not be completed before
2009. And even as these facilities come on-line, China confronts a
fundamental energy deficit: Despite the vastness of its landmass,
it has nowhere near enough reserves to meet its needs,
necessitating a widening stream of imports. Beijing has turned its
sights outward in a global quest to secure reliable stocks of
energy.
Lenovo More than 80 percent of China's electricity is produced in
coal-burning plants. Many mines have been shut in recent years amid
a series of horrific accidents as well as concerns about worsening
urban air quality. But as coal shortages have emerged, the
government has reinvigorated mining. Joe Zhang, an energy analyst
at UBS in Hong Kong, predicts that China -- long a major exporter
of coal -- will become a significant importer within four
years.
Hard Drive China's oil and gas reserves satisfy a bare fraction of its
demands. Production at its largest proven oil field near the
northeastern city of Daqing is declining. Experts are skeptical
about estimates for China's greatest potential oil and gas area,
the Tarim Basin in the northwestern province of Xinjiang, a
semi-autonomous region beset by ethnic strife.
Travelstar Only a decade ago, China was a net exporter of oil. Now, it is
the third-largest importer, behind only the United States and
Japan. Imports leaped nearly a third during the first 10 months of
2003. By the government's reckoning, China will need as much as 600
million tons of oil annually by 2020, more than three times its
expected output.
Gateway More than half of China's oil imports now come from the Middle
East, stoking fears in Beijing that the country's economic
stability is overly dependent on access to the world's most
volatile region. To hedge its bets, China has been seeking to tap
sources in other parts of the world. In 2002, China National
Offshore Oil Co. became the largest offshore producer in Indonesia
when it bought a stake from the Spanish firm Repsol. The company
also signed a $12 billion, 25-year contract to purchase liquefied
natural gas from Australia's Northwest Shelf project.
Laptop Parts But China's grandest overseas energy visions have so far gained
little besides painful lessons in the intensity of competition for
the world's most crucial resources.
Software In May, President Hu Jintao visited Russia, where he presided
over the signing of a contract between state-owned China National
Petroleum Corp. (CNPC) and the Russian oil giant, Yukos. They were
to build a 1,400-mile-long-pipeline to deliver crude oil from
Angarsk in eastern Siberia to refineries in Daqing. Oil was to
begin flowing in 2005, supplying as much as 30 percent of China's
imports by 2030.
Hard Drives But the prosecution and jailing of Russian tycoon Mikhail
Khodorkovsky, who controlled Yukos, has iced that plan. Meanwhile,
Japan is aggressively wooing Moscow with an offer to pay for a more
expensive pipeline reaching the Russian port Nakhodka on the Sea of
Japan, enabling easy shipment to the archipelago-nation. That route
would bypass China. Though a spur could still be built to Daqing,
Japanese demand might absorb all or most of the pipeline's oil.
Electronics In June, President Hu presided over another contract signing in
Kazakhstan: CNPC and state oil-and-gas company Kazymunyagas pledged
to build a 2,000-mile-long pipeline to carry oil to western China.
But that project only makes sense if China taps into sufficient
volumes of Kazakh oil, a prospect that dimmed when U.S. and
Japanese firms edged out China's bid for a larger slice of the
enormous Kashagan field on the Caspian Sea.
Canon Some say these setbacks are less a problem than an opportunity:
They apply pressure on China's government to adopt conservation
policies. Many factories and distribution networks are highly
inefficient, spoiled by years of access to subsidized state power.
China's most prosperous cities are now under the spell of the
automobile, as a consumer-minded nouveau riche takes to a suburban
lifestyle featuring shopping outings in the family sedan.
Desktop Pc "The shortages will relieve the pressure on China's
environment," said Qu Geping, a former chief of the state
Environmental Protection Bureau, who now heads a non-government
advocacy group. "Coal users in particular will be forced to improve
their efficiency."
Desktop Computers China is now tightening auto emissions standards, while limiting
credit for the auto industry, which consumes enormous amounts of
energy.
Think Pad Power shortages first emerged last in summer in the coastal
provinces at the center of China's export boom -- Guangdong,
Fujian, Zhejiang and Jiangsu as well as the city of Shanghai. They
have since spread. Today, 19 of 31 provinces are rationing
electricity, according to state media reports.
Repair In Hangzhou -- a city in Zhejiang famed for its lake ringed with
pagodas -- officials last month forced most factories to limit
production to four days a week. They barred virtually all
production during peak hours of household demand, while forcing the
biggest energy consumers such as cement- and brick-making factories
to halt altogether.
Data Recovery At the Hanggang-Changxing Electrical Arc Furnace Steel-Making
Co., production has been slowed by nearly one-fifth. "The effect is
huge," a companyofficial said. "Every day, our profits are reduced
by 150,000 renminbi," or more than $18,000.
Cisco For now, most analysts foresee marginal impact to China's
economy, with the greatest consequences confined to the hungriest
users of energy. "It could take five percentage points off
production growth rates for industrial products," said Sanft, the
CLSA analyst.
Keyboard But if the problem persists, it could frighten away foreign
investment -- particularly in energy-intensive industries such as
semiconductors and petrochemicals.
Monitor "The absolute worst thing that can happen in modern
manufacturing is for the lights to go off," said an executive for a
multinational company who spoke on condition of anonymity. "The raw
materials freeze up and the capital equipment is destroyed. Not
only is this a threat to existing players, it also decreases the
incentive to invest. This is potentially very serious."
Desktop The biggest casualty of the shortages so far is the momentum for
market-embracing reform. Energy was once a key target for
liberalization, in part because China's producers are so
inefficient, but also because the industry has been rife with
corruption. In 2002, the State Power Corp., which once dominated
the industry, was broken into two companies with pieces of the
transmission grid, and four separate power-producers. The theory
was that competition within the generating business would force the
building of more efficient plants. Then the state could stop
setting prices and planning for future generation capacity, ceding
that role to the market.
Infosys But much as the energy shortages in California sparked a
rethinking on deregulation, China's troubles have sown doubts about
the virtues of its reforms. "The question raised by many now is
whether the reform of the power industry is a factor influencing
the security of national power," said Zhang Guobao, vice-chairman
of the State Development and Reform Commission, addressing
reporters in Beijing.
Refurbished Laptops Local officials have traditionally coaxed factories to agree to
long-term power purchasing arrangements, locking in a guaranteed
profit margin for plant operators -- the sort of government
orchestration that the reforms have aimed to eliminate. Now, say
industry sources, provincial authorities are again stepping in to
ensure sufficient local supply: They are encouraging the swift
development of new power plants by brokering long-term power
purchasing deals.
Wipro So much so, in fact, that some now predict the process will
yield an outcome currently difficult to imagine -- a glut of
energy.
Lap Top "We're going to have an overcapacity problem," the multinational
executive said. "That is the pattern in China, because it's not
really a market system."
Refurbished By Peter S. Goodman
Washington Post - 1/5/2003
Topic: Energy
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