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Thinkpad (AXcess News) Houston, TX - Internet financial guru, Safa Rashtchy, senior analyst, Piper Jaffray & Co. says the China Internet and technology market is facing a year of solid growth but competition will play into the scenerio as well while costs increase and margins narrow.

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Microsoft Piper Jaffray will be holding its Third Annual China Internet and Technology Conference in Beijing on February 28 to March 2. Where the core theme of this year's conference will be growth and opportunities. See www.pjc.com/china

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Laptop Computers Internet companies in particular are seeing the increasing cost of success: margins are declining as expenses increase due to competition. At the same time, core market demands remain healthy.

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Laptop Computer Risks include the volatility of wireless revenues, investor sentiment toward a young and new sector, the potential of government intervention, and the potential of decline or volatility economic growth. The unique corporate structure of the Chinese Internet companies also poses additional risk factors for investors.

Desktop Computer The good news is that, unlike what the U.S. Internet market went through in 1998-2000, Piper Jaffray believes this trend is gradual and will not result in increasing losses; rather, it will simply cut back some of the profit margins. The Chinese companies, unlike the Web 1.0 companies in U.S., are generating significant profit from each customer they acquire. In fact, they have been generating too much profit and may have not focused enough on expanding their share at the cost of lowering some of these profits. Now the competition will force most of them to be more concerned about market share gains.

Notebooks "The dual increase in cost of labor and marketing will make the operating margins much more realistic and sustainable, in the 15%-40% range rather than over 50% that was common in China early on," Rashtchy said. "A key beneficiary of this trend will be ad-based companies. Both offline players like Focus Media, as well as online portals like Sina, Sohu, and Netease will stand to benefit from their key assets: inventories of ads."

Lenovo Rashtchy went on to say that, "Similarly, we expect search destinations to become more valuable to an increasing number of Internet companies. Unlike in the U.S., companies like Ctrip or the wireless service providers have been using very little sponsored search for customer acquisition. We believe this trend will begin to change in 2006, as competition in search and Google's push for a better search engine will create more useful search experience for users, creating a virtuous cycle that should lead to more advertisers coming to search as well."

Hard Drive "We expect that the online game industry will regain its lost respect and attention by the second half of the year. This will happen as new popular titles hit the market and the effect of potentially negative trends such as government's fatigue control or the new free-to-play models prove to be minimal," said Rashtchy.

Travelstar Rashtchy also expects wireless services to have a solid but moderate growth that is much less likely to be marked by major disruptions in the form of new regulations.

Gateway In his "china Update 2006", Piper Jaffray's Rashtchy outlined their "top picks" in China.

Laptop Parts "We continue to rate the wireless services sector a top category base on low valuations (lowest of the China group) and improving fundamentals, with relatively easy comps on 2005. Tom Online, as the leader of this group, is the best wireless play in our opinion, as its diverse product offering will prove to be valuable to the carrier. Similarly KongZhong has a diverse set of products and is expanding its carrier relationships beyond China Mobile.

Software "Portals will benefit from increasing ad revenues. Note our recent upgrade of Sohu based on improving fundamentals and a relatively stable model. Sina is still likely to be held back by its weaker wireless segment.

Hard Drives "The "Other" Group. The three companies, Focus Media, Ctrip, and 51Job, operate outside the ordinary Internet and wireless segments and are thus more insulated from the volatilities of those segments. We expect all three to continue to do well, remaining their respective market leader, and with their markets growing in a healthy and sustainable rate. Valuation has forced us to maintain our Market Perform on 51 Job and may limit that stock's upside from current levels. We continue to believe both Ctrip and Focus Media have strong upside potential in 2006," said Rashtchy.

Electronics Chinese Internet Users Topped 111 Million

Canon The Chinese Internet Network Information Center (CNNIC) reported that at the end of year 2005, the number of Chinese Internet users has reached 111 million. Even with the 18% y/y growth in the number of Internet users, the percentage accounted for merely 8.5% of the total population, less than a third of online advertising, and about 1% of total ad spending. This growth is skewed toward more urban cities.

Desktop Pc The Chinese Wireless Market

Desktop Computers The Chinese wireless market reached over $71 billion in 2005. There are nearly 380 million mobile subscribers, or 29% of the population, in China today. The number of fixed-line subscribers in China still outnumbers the mobile subscribers, but this will be more likely to change. According to an expert with Ministry of Information Industry (MII), by the end of 2006, China will have over 440m mobile users.

Think Pad China Will Pass U.S. in Broadband Lines by late 2006

Repair At its current growth rate of over 90% per year, China will pass the U.S. in total broadband subscribers by late 2006 to become the largest broadband country in the world. U.S. has fallen to 19th overall in household broadband penetration according to Telecompaper.

Data Recovery Taobao May Challenge eBay U.S. In 2008. Alibaba CEO Jack Ma recently announced that Alibaba's online auction site Taobao.com commands about 70% of China's online auction market. Taobao will continue supporting and promoting China's online auction market, as the current market size will pale in comparison with the market three years from now. The CEO also believes that by year 12B SMS Sent In China Over New Year Holiday. Chinese handset users sent and received 12 billion short messages during the Chinese New Year holiday. China Unicom accounted for 3.1 billion SMS during the holiday, up 20 percent from 2005. Shanghai handset users sent and received over 400 million SMS on New Year's Eve, with China Mobile subsidiary Shanghai Mobile accounting for 290 million SMS.

Cisco The Growth of China

Keyboard The Chinese economy grew 9.9% in 2005. Preliminary estimates show that GDP for the year was $18.23 trillion yuan ($2.26 trillion USD). More than 520,000 foreign-invested companies are now registered in China. The government is now promoting the development of both SMBs and the private sector as these are playing and are expected to play an increasingly important role in driving further development of China's economy.

Monitor China Starts Adjusting Resource Prices

Desktop The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) announced on Monday that it will appropriately raise the producer price of natural gas all around China starting December 26, 2006.

Infosys 3G Investments

Refurbished Laptops 3G investments will bring another new era for the wireless and mobile industry. However, China Mobile may turn away from China's TD-SCDMA standard. Market watchers expect China Mobile, which runs services on the GSM network, may obtain a WCDMA license for its 3G service. Other telecom companies such as China Telecom Corp or China Netcom Group will get TD-SCDMA licenses.

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